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Crypto Returns Calculator

How far could a halal portfolio go?

6 mo1 year10 yr

Choose tier

Bear scenario

$3772

-$1228 (-8%/yr)

Starting from $5000 · net of subscription

Base case

$5272

+$272 (22%/yr)

Starting from $5000 · net of subscription

Bull scenario

$6422

+$1422 (45%/yr)

Starting from $5000 · net of subscription

Subscription cost over 1 year-$828

Calculations use historical halal-screened tier ranges. Crypto returns are non-linear and not guaranteed. This is a planning tool, not investment advice. All trades are spot only — your funds never leave your own Binance account.

How it works

The math behind the projections

Most crypto returns calculators assume a fixed annual return and call it a day. That's not how this asset class works. Crypto returns are non-linear, regime-dependent, and asymmetric — so a single “ average” number is misleading.

This calculator uses three scenarios per tier: a bear case (the system is wrong about market regime), a base case (returns roughly in line with the published tier target), and a bull case (a strong cycle plays out and the convex framework captures the move). Each scenario compounds your starting investment at the corresponding annual rate over your chosen time horizon, then deducts the subscription cost in dollars over that period.

The tier ranges come from our published tier targets. They are not guarantees — past performance does not predict future returns, and crypto can lose value rapidly. Use this as a planning tool, not a forecast.

Tier comparison

Why tier choice matters more than starting capital

One observation that surprises a lot of new users: doubling your starting investment changes your end balance linearly, but moving from Conservative to Multi-X changes it exponentially. Tier choice is a multiplicative decision, not an additive one.

The other side of that coin: Multi-X drawdowns are larger and more frequent; If you're going to be checking your balance every week, Multi-X will likely make you sell at the wrong time. Conservative is calibrated to be quietly held through the noise. Most users discover this the hard way — you're welcome to learn it from a calculator instead.

Conservative

+8% to +15% / yr base case

Designed for capital preservation with steady upside. Best for users who can't tolerate large drawdowns or who are deploying meaningful capital they need to keep.

Moderate

+22% / yr base case

Balanced engine, full halal top-20 universe. Best for users who can hold through 2–4 week drawdown periods and want compound growth.

Multi-X

+45% / yr base case

Pre-rocket signal stack on extended halal universe. Best for users who can hold through episodic 25%+ drawdowns and are aiming for asymmetric multi-X moves.

What this is not

Honest disclaimers, no fine-print games

This is not a guarantee; It is not investment advice. It is not a forecast. It is a planning tool that takes the published tier ranges and applies them to a starting investment with a time horizon, so you can see what realistic outcome bands look like.

Crypto can lose 80% of its value in a year; It has done so multiple times in the last decade. Our system caps that downside through hard stop-losses and concentration limits, but it cannot eliminate it. Anyone who promises you guaranteed returns in this asset class is either a fool or a fraud — possibly both.

What we can promise is that every trade is spot, every coin is halal-screened daily, and your funds never leave your own Binance account. The rest is the market.

FAQ

Common questions

Where do the tier return ranges come from?+

They are the published target ranges from our tier definitions. The base case sits roughly at the midpoint of the published range. The bear case reflects regime mismatches we’ ve observed historically. The bull case reflects strong-cycle behaviour with convex sizing.

Why subtract the subscription cost?+

Because that’ s honest. Many calculators ignore fees. Yours doesn’ t. The subscription is a flat monthly fee, not a percentage of assets, so the impact diminishes as your portfolio grows.

Can I lose money on Conservative too?+

Yes. Even with hard stop-losses and a blue-chip universe, a sustained bear market can produce a negative outcome over short periods. The bear scenario in this calculator reflects that reality.

Why is the time horizon capped at 10 years?+

Beyond 10 years, compounding assumptions stop being meaningful in crypto — the asset class itself is younger than that, and tier methodologies will evolve. We don’ t want to imply we know what 20 years looks like, because nobody does.

Can I use this for portfolio planning across multiple tiers?+

Yes — run the calculator once per tier with the slice of capital you’ d allocate to each, then sum the outcomes. Splitting capital across tiers is a common approach.

Want to act on these numbers?

Pick a tier and start in five minutes

The bot trades the same halal universe this calculator projects. Spot only, on your own Binance account.

Compare the three tiers →